Over the past 15 years Paul has published extensively in a variety of outlets.

This has included a series of articles in the US magazine Green at Work, a series of opinion pieces in the Australian newspaper and a weekly blog on one of Australia’s leading business information sites, Business Spectator.

He has also written a series of provocative thought pieces, including his analysis on what he sees as the crash of the global ecosystem now underway and its social and economic implications. He is currently working on a major new thought piece with Jorgen Randers, one of the authors of the seminal 1972 publication The Club of Rome’s Limits to Growth. This paper will be published in mid 2009.

Some of Paul’s writing can be found here:

Sustainability and the Financial Crisis. PDF. This major new article reflects on the history of sustainability in the context of the present so called global financial crisis. It argues we are now entering a sustainability driven transformation of the global economy that will sweep many companies out of existence. The article was published in the February 2009 edition of WME Business Environment magazine. From the article:

“Anyone who argues the global financial crisis will sideline sustainability fails to understand that the world’s scientists are now observing, rather than forecasting, a global ecosystem crisis with enormous direct economic and social impacts. The change ahead will be driven by the physics and biology of the ecosystem rather than the good intentions of our leaders.”

The Great Disruption This July 2008 letter, written to mark Paul’s departure from Ecos, updated Scream Crash Boom and argued, before the credit crisis began, that the economic system had become so complex and intertwined that it presented the greatest risk to itself. He also argued that the ecological crash he had earlier forecast was now underway. To quote from the letter:

“The system is breaking down and we need to prepare for what’s coming. When we look back, 2008 will be a momentous year in human history. “

“We have built an incredibly complex, interlinked global society and economic system. While we’re very proud of our creation, its very complexity makes it highly prone to shocks. The interconnectedness we marvel at could well be our downfall as parallel shocks bring the whole system down.”

Scream Crash Boom This 2005 letter, written to mark Ecos’ 10th anniversary, is the original outline of Paul’s Scream Crash Boom thesis, where he argues the inevitability of a system wide ecological crash and a dramatic economic transformation in response.

Citizen Mind Consumer Mind PDF.   Green at Work article on the how to understand the difference between public opinion and consumer behaviour