Like a Grenade in a Glasshouse

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It’s going to hit hard and it’s going to hurt – made worse because most aren’t expecting it. They think the world is slowly returning to our modern “normal” – steadily increasing growth, with occasional annoying but manageable interruptions. After all, the global recession wasn’t so bad was it? Sure there was pain and things got shaky but Governments responded, bailed out companies, stimulated economies, got things back on track.  While it’s still a bit bumpy, Greek wobbles, US debt, extreme weather, high oil and food prices etc, it’ll work out. It always does….

If only it were so. In fact we are blindly walking towards the next in a series of inevitable system shaking and confidence sapping crises, deluded in the belief that the worst is behind us.

Each crisis will be a little worse than the last. Each one will shake our denial a little more. This is what happens when systems hit their limits. They don’t do so smoothly, but bump up against the wall, hitting hard, then bouncing off equally hard. It is the behaviour of a system trying to break through. But if the limits are solid, as is the case with our economic system hitting the limits of the planet – defined by unchangeable physical capacity and the laws of physics, chemistry and biology – then it can’t find its way through. So eventually, when the pain of hitting the wall gets too much, it stops.

Then it will hit. Like a grenade in a glasshouse, shattering denial and delusion and leaving it like a pile of broken glass on the floor of the old economic model. Then we’ll be ready for change.

I’ve been arguing the inevitability of this moment since 2005, mostly inside the business community. Before the 2008 financial crisis hit, the idea was almost universally rejected, with a belief in the indomitable power of globalised markets to overcome all challenges and keep growth on track. Most audiences believed that while markets always wobbled, they also always recovered. My suggestion, that this level of arrogance was the hallmark of empires before they fell, landed on deaf ears. They were the masters of the universe and markets and growth would always reign supreme.

Now the response is different. The financial crisis saw many break off from the pack and start to ask the difficult questions. I now find as I tour the world speaking about The Great Disruption to community gatherings, corporate executives and policy makers that minds are increasingly open. While not the dominant view, the previous confidence in the inevitably of growth has become shaky and the group asking the challenging questions is rapidly expanding.

As I argue in the book, the fundamental cause of what’s coming is resource constraint and environmental breakdown, which when combined with an overstretched financial system and high levels of debt puts unbearable tension into the global economy. While no one can know what event will pull the pin out of the grenade, the underlying pressures make that moment inevitable. Yes, the dominant commentary still blames each individual problem on unique circumstances, but the underlying systemic causes are clear for those who wish to look.

The continued level of denial still surprises me, especially given the pressures driving this are not esoteric and can be measured in clear economic indicators. A good example was recently published by one of the more interesting voices to join the growing chorus that we have a system-wide problem. The legendary contrarian and fund manager Jeremy Grantham is co-founder of the Boston based firm GMO, with over $100 billion of assets under management. So this guy is a solid capitalist and market advocate, pursuing wealth for the wealthy. But he sees the data and is raising the alarm, calling this moment “one of the giant inflection points in economic history” – referring to the end of a 100-year steady decline in commodity prices. His views were echoed by Stephen King, group chief economist at HSBC, who wrote in the FT: “After the biggest meltdown since the Great Depression, economic theory tells us that world commodity prices should not be this high. But they are and the West quickly needs to wake up to this new economic reality. Commodity prices are now permanently higher.”

Grantham provides the detail, pointing out that the 100 year trend of falling prices in the 33 most important commodities, except for oil, were wiped out with a price surge from 2002 to 2010 – a surge even greater than experienced in WW2. We have now reached what Grantham calls the Great Paradigm shift; not a price spike but a new reality. Within this new reality, Grantham says: “if we maintain our desperate focus on growth, we will run out of everything and crash.”

This is why hitting the wall is inevitable – because limits are not philosophies, they are limits. We can understand what to expect – and why the grenade will shatter the glasshouse of economic growth – by going back to how systems behave when they hit their limits. Our economic system first hit the wall in 2008 – that was when The Great Disruption began with food and oil prices hitting record highs and a credit crisis driven by reckless monetary policy pursuing growth at all costs. The resulting recession meant we backed away from those limits (bouncing off the wall), and then borrowed massive amounts of money from our children (think Greece) to try to get the economy moving again.

Now that the global economy is slowly entering a so-called “recovery”, the prices of commodities (representing our use of earth’s resources for food and materials) are on the way up, accelerated, in the case of food, by climate change. Of course if significant growth kicks in, the prices of oil, food and other commodities will surge, this time starting from near record highs.  Then we will bounce back into recession and prices will back off again. Hit the wall, bounce off. Hit the wall, bounce off. Ouch.

By itself this would pose enough of a challenge to growth. But now we also have the debt we used to get the economy moving again. This debt can only be paid off with significant economic growth – but such significant growth is impossible as outlined above. So the debt itself becomes an enormous additional tension in the system, as argued by Richard Heinberg in his important forthcoming book The End of Growth. With the global economy and ecosystem now both burdened by unmanageable debt, effective global default is only a matter of time.

So we’re living in a glass house with the grenade sitting there for all to see. Who knows what will pull the pin. It could be Greece, a Chinese food crisis, peak oil or any number of other triggers. But it’s coming.

The question to ask yourself is simple. Are you ready?

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51 thoughts on “Like a Grenade in a Glasshouse

  1. Really, it’s just like the ‘exponential weed growth in the finite pond’ metaphor we, surely, all heard in high school science that was used to describe what happens with unlimited growth in a limited environment. It’s glaringly obvious!
    I believe now that we have seen the “sea changers” and the “tree changers” it’s time for the “WE CHANGERS” . We are all in this together and it’s time for a “We Change”

  2. At the Pachacuti Project, we too are noticing a steady increase in awareness and engagement in footprint issues, in particular a faltering confidence in the economic growth mantra. Our business is in promoting new social perceptions via the medium of entertainment and we’re seeing more and more material, such as docos, on the de-growth theme entering the far end of the pipeline. It’s encouraging. Just wish it would hurry up and take effect. Dave Gardner’s GrowthBusters feature documentary is due to premiere in NY in October. Be nice if we didn’t need it.

  3. Am about finished with your book – it has been a page-turner. I like your style, research and logic. We have been mentally prepared for the endgame for some time: debt free since retirement. Most, if not all, of our friends, family and neighbors are either in disbelief or denial. They continue to believe in the stories they grew up with and have lived with their entire lives. Our family (children, grandchildren, etc.) think we’re becoming senile. Keep up the good fight! We’re about as ready as we can be with a reduced lifestyle and a solar home. Regards, Russ

  4. Paul,

    Last week I attended one of Ross Garnaut’s public lectures. I took the opportunity to thank him for all of his concerted efforts to put Climate Change firmly on the public agenda but suggested that his thinking and policy recommendations are still grounded firmly in the “Growth is Sacrosanct” paradigm. I asked him why he hadn’t considered taking a Steady State Economics (see CASSE http://steadystate.org/) frame of reference in addition to the usual neo-classical economics treatment. His response was stark and direct….”Over my dead body!”. He then went on to roll out the usual neo-classical economist’s “rising tides lifts all boats” , “technological breakthroughs just around the corner” and “decoupling growth from impacts” myths. This sort of response is a text book example of what psychologists call “Cognitive Dissonance”. To be prepared to shine a mirror on such deeply guarded blindspots requires true courage…for the ego and identity have strong self protection tendencies! I hope that he has the fortitude to face himself…because the outcomes will not be “over his dead body”…they will be over our children’s and grandchildren’s! I think Socrates had something to say about this in his “Unexamined Life” quote.

  5. Thanks for writing this Paul – both your book and your blog are really important. I’ve been thinking recently that “the seeds of the new are in the ashes of the old” and trying to look at the ideas/ projects/ start-ups that are around now that will form the basis of the financial system, economy, monetary system etc after the climate & growth crises really kick in.

  6. The basic fundamental problem is that there are too many people, but who is going to volunteer to get off the bus and who will be pushed?
    The resolution may be that the total wealth may decrease but individual wealth may increase. Such a disparity would result in enormous social upheaval. However
    Look on the bright side, Malthus was wrong.
    However, bureaucracy and our governments will have to be made more efficient and accountable, services decreased and futile wars against drugs and medieval groups abandoned.

  7. Paul, Thank you so much for your book and these comments. I have studied the big picture for most of my life in an attempt to understand human beings and our planet. Your work is a great synthesis and is the most accurate current description of our global predicament. What has surprised me the most is that the great disruption has actually begun and is unfolding now, in my lifetime…this is a great time to be alive, aware and awakened.

    I clearly see great possibilities as well as great dangers. I want to stay in touch and follow your work. Hope I can see you speak in person some day. Count me as one that will do anything in my power to ease this transition, hopefully to a new and more awakened planet Earth!

  8. Our culture relies on politicians and their fear of unpopularity, and corporations and their fear of shareholders, to guide us. This is clearly a flawed system. To counter it we need a massive injection of ethical standards to our policy makers and money managers driven by a huge grass-roots movement.
    We have had the top-down approach for too long, the bottom up approach is needed to change the balance.

  9. Yep its all going pear-shaped very fast. Interesting how few commentators have had the courage to call it like they see it. The majority of financial journalists here in Oz – with a couple of notable exceptions like Ross Gittings – are still writing as though the old paradigm still applies. Our captains of industry are mostly too scared of a shareholder backlash to admit what’s coming. Would be interesting to look at the journalism which immediately preceded the first and second world wars and see how many experts back then actually had the courage to acknowledge the inevitability of the unthinkable.

  10. Paul Gilding

    John Collee: Good point John. I’ve not looked at in detail but I understand the situation was very similar prior to WWII, with arguments that the threat wasn’t that bad, we shouldn’t rush into the response etc, with just a few voices arguing how severe the threat was. Then it suddenly turned in favour of action. I suspect our response will be similar!

  11. Thought provoking! Getting buy in for a return to a sustainable lifestyle will come only with much pain and angst. Relearning to live in something other than a “throw-away” style will certainly be disruptive, even without the changing physical environment.

    There seems to be some hopeful areas of technological “progress” that may help feed us in the future, e.g.growing meat in vats instead of on the hoof. This would take considerable pressure off the cropland needed to produce bread, taco shells, and corn syrup.

    Who knows where the extra rains may fall and how we may redistribute the water to where it is needed to grow the crops to feed the masses?

    It will be a great time to be a civil engineer!

  12. Just read your book and love your approach. Will recommend to everyone! But your brief dismissal of population issues troubles me. You say, “While individual nations (most notably China) can and have acted on their own populations, there is no realistic chance that we could reach a global agreement to slow global population growth in the countries we need to in any meaningful way.” Yet you correctly observe that global agreements are not necessary in order to take significant steps to lessen CO2, build alternative energy sources, or make other positive changes to the environment. You do not explain which countries you are referring to vis a vis slowing “global population growth in the countries we need to” but I must counter that we need to slow population growth everywhere.

    Rich people consume the most, and so it is vital they refrain from bringing more children into their high-consumption lifestyles; poor people have the least resources to deal with the terrible impacts of climate change, and so need far greater opportunities to limit their family sizes. Rich and poor, we all need to have fewer children. It doesn’t take global agreements, or even government involvement necessarily to get parents to make better decisions. Indeed, you discuss at length how individuals can live well without taking a big toll on the environment, and cite non-governmental activities including the exploding market for organic foods, the Compact, and LOHAS (Lifestyle of Health and Sustainability) in general as seeds of a new, sustainable way of living. Certainly voluntary limits on family size belong in this picture!
    Nevertheless, thanks for writing this brave and forthright book.

  13. The key resource is energy. If its’s cheap and plentiful and clean, most other “shortages” will simply become a non-problem. I find the broader optimism here refreshing, but probably still underestimating human ingenuity and the beneficial outcomes of creative destruction. It will be painful to deal with the bubble of non-productive debt, but it need not be hugely disruptive to switch to a solar hydrogen economy. And surely it would be helpful on both fronts to not hobble ourselves with a carbon tax while making these adjustments? Sucking $150bn out of the Australian economy over 15 years to achieve less than 0.5ppm difference to CO2 in that time, while China builds new coal-fired power (our coal!) expanding at the rate equivalent to the whole of Australian generating capacity every few months for the next 10+ years, is stupid, pure and simple. Change is undoubtedly coming; hydrogen production by solar electrolysis of water will reach coal-fired grid parity cost within my lifetime (and yours Paul), and costs will keep falling beyond that. When that happens, the abundant cheap clean energy means there will be no more “climate problem”, non-arable, infertile or dry lands will become foodbowls, manufacturing (esp with nano-tech advances) will become even cheaper, and we will have enormous capacity to restore and repair ecosystem fatigue and damage. The main human problem will go back to being that of getting along with your neighbour and educating the children. But the change will be deferred and made more painful if our main concern is to punish ourselves for our past sins instead of looking forwards to helping the solutions appear.

  14. umm yeah but I’ve been saying that since the end of 09.If people want the economy to collapse right now all you would have to do is lean on it.

  15. Hi Paul:

    I’m about 1/2 way through the Book at this point, enjoying your insights, and have a question/comment.

    So I’ve been in high tech for about 25 yrs now, and an engineer for over 35, so definitely NOT a Luddite. This idea of runaway consumption ending is interesting from the software/hardware industry perspective. I’m a little torn on how we (you) would balance the need to push forward on industry innovation vis-a-vis Moore’s Law, online communication, remote work force and opposing necessities in how the chip market is very resource and environmentally intensive. I worked for intel for a number of years, and their goal was to place a computer device (read this as any number of different devices – laptop, smart phone, tablet, etc.) in every person’s hands as soon as possible. This seems at odds to what is coming in the disruption. My feeling is that these technologies are break through and enable savings in resource consumption (unnecessary business related travel, online order/delivery models of scale, etc.), but on the other hand creating unlimited numbers of devices for the sake of having the latest in technology seems wasteful – and I haven’t even mentioned what e-waste is doing to the environment.

    So I guess the question underlying all of this – for the group – is perhaps how this balances out post Disruption and during rebuild? Maybe it’ll be answered later in the 2nd half of your book ;-)

  16. I am half-way through “the Great Disruption” and am already telling everyone to read it; hoping to form a discussion group of my friends who DO read it. The book articulates beautifully many things that I have been intuiting (strongly) for the last few years. What a relief to find that my intuition can be backed up by science and math. Makes it a lot easier for me to talk to others about this!
    Unfortunately, the truth about “stubborn man” is that he doesn’t change until he has to. I am good friends with several authentic shaman from different cultures. My friend Don Alverto Taxo from Ecuador has told me that there is a 500 year old prophecy that the eagle ( technology) and the condor ( heart teachings of indigenous people) will fly in the sky together, and that time is now. Many people from indigenous cultures are very excited about the major transformation that is about to take place. I must say, I am glad too. It is time for the broken ways of materialism to fall apart and for a new age of connection and respect and gratitude for nature and for each other to be born. Very little has been said about the spiritual side of the great disruption ( and subsequent awakening). In the context of the end of the Mayan calendar in 2012, I can’t help but feel like this will be when the big changes occur.

  17. Corporate Greed is boundless in its soulless desire for profit, for more and more money, a mutant immortal vampire, a “legal entity”, that has been given personhood status, allowed to walk among us humans, its easy victims, we humans are no match for its vast wealth, it is allowed to buy anything it wants, “take” anything it wants, be warned, it wants “everything”.

  18. Van Johnson has started rebuildthedream.com. I am attending one of his design-the-message house meetings in the hope of encouraging the adaptation of a framework, for the many concerns emerging, that aligns with your (and my) understanding of now. If you could approach him with your ideas it might transform his movement, which is going to have considerable influence judging from the long list of associated organizations. Otherwise Rebuild the Dream looks likely to devolve into a selfish squabble over entitlements. That would be a huge waste of a good opportunity.

  19. The folks who are going to be hardest to convince that Paul is spot on – are those who believe that God will look after everything. Just sayin’.

  20. I have been reading this book and trying not to jump off of something very tall! I’m in the hopeless despair stage of this “awakening” personaly.
    I am stuck because I want to get debts eliminated but the prospect of doing so seems unlikely because of the continued economic turbulance and likely colapse.
    How are you, Paul, or others handeling the incredible fear of this potentialy civilization shattering change? What does one do to remain emotionaly stable as they lose their income and watch the world struggle for remaining resources? I’m stuck!

  21. Link (and quip) made at:

    http://apocadocs.com/docs/2011/jul/like-a-grenade-in-a-glasshouse-the-great-disruption.html

    The Apocadocs have annotated 6,000+ news items on the ongoing system collapse, back to 1/2008, each with a joke, jape, or quip.

    The “Converging Emergencies” (as we call it) is right in line with your Great Disruption.

    It’s going to get ugly in lots of places.

    The only antidote to despair (beyond humor and music) that I’ve found is “Transition Towns” — a conscious rethinking of community in light of peak resources, climate chaos, and economic disruption. Actively reskilling, developing networks, and rethinking how to live well in constrained (and unpredictable) circumstances unique to your community.

    Thanks for the work you’re doing!

  22. To Bnick,

    I was like you, mired in despair over the things that are unfolding in the world. I still occasionally grapple with that despair; people by nature are frightened by profound change. However, as I have navigated the murky waters surrounding these issues of climate change and peak oil, I have relied on the uplifting writings of thinkers such as Paul.

    Know that according to the scientist James Lovelock, even if we fail to stop catastrophic climate change, around twenty percent of the present human population — around one billion people — will survive in the Arctic regions. If such a large remnant of humanity manages to survive if the climate crisis runs its full course, I still have hope that we will emerge a better species.

    Also know that climate change will not “kill” the planet. The planet has been through natural climate changes just as severe as what’s coming; Lovelock also says that these climate changes did not see any significant extinction of species. Moreover, the planet has been through prehistoric asteroid strikes far more catastrophic than the present situation, yet still survived.

    Paul shows that while we have a significant challenge before us, the outcome is purely up to us. We will have to use our hearts and minds — not our reptilian impulses — to ensure that human civilization survives. And even if we fail, one billion people will hopefully learn from our mistakes; the planet will gradually recover and continue its own life.

    I hope this helps. Keep the faith.

    Best Regards,

    Sebastian Lawhorne

  23. While reading the book, I kept trying to imagine what event could trigger the great awakening. I don’t think it will be food. We had simultaneous crop failures in Australia and Russia. Prices spiked, but have backed down some. Prospects look better this year. One good year in three will keep people thinking that this is just temporary. Brazil will cut down more rainforest, and genetically modified crops and more irrigation will keep us going for a few more years. All the while, we will keep adding people, raising their diets, and making the cliff higher for us to fall off.

    I don’t think weather will do it. Europe had the hot summer in 2003, and North America is having one now. However, the planet has struggled for 14 to exceed the record hot year of 1997. This fact has kept the climate deniers blogging that Global Warming stopped. We also had a cold snowy winter and spring in the northeast US. On top of that, we have had mild hurricane seasons since Katrina. Weather is too variable to be the trigger.

    I really think it will take peak oil. This will occur when Saudi Arabia admits that their production is falling significantly. Even then, there will be those who press for faster development of tar sands, drilling the Arctic Wildlife Refuge, and more drilling for gas in the national forests. We in America will try to make an island; at least for as long as we think it is feasible.

    I am not optimistic that this will end well. Peak oil will cause havoc in the next ten years, and we will have severe food shortages at the same time. Europe, Russia, the U.S., Brazil, Argentina and a few others can feed themselves. However, most of these countries will face severe problems with a shortage of oil. The transition to a negative growth world will not come easily, and it won’t happen with any agreement among nations as to how to do it. Each nation will try to minimize the impact to its citizens. But the economy will fall fast enough to cause massive unemployment. The transition to new industries will not happen fast enough to prevent significant unrest and possibly riots and anarchy. In addition, many of the new energy industries are heavily dependent on rare earth materials which are 90% controlled by China.

    The idea that 10% reduction translates to 5 weeks unpaid vacation cannot work. Because of the fixed/variable cost curve, total costs would have to come down at least 20%. Since labor is the fastest variable cost to cut, hours or people would drop by at least 20% immediately. The impact of lower wages would cause the economy to spiral down. The poor, young, and uneducated would suffer the most.

    While it is hard to see how this scenario will play out, you will have at least two countries with large, poor populations and nuclear weapons in India and Pakistan. Nor will China will not sit back and let it play out. They will try to use their economic clout and perhaps even invade neighbors. If you need an example of the difficulty in reaching an agreement on a tough issue, look at the US debt negotiations. The stakes are very high and you have only two ideologies to deal with. I have been espousing the ideas of global warming and peak everything for more than ten years. I have no family nor friends that take the matter seriously. With that amount of ambivalence, which I think is the common view, action in the US will be hard to come by. I am more in the camp of James Howard Kunstler in The Long Emergency.

  24. Jon,

    Not to dismiss peak oil, but I don’t think you have good facts about the weather. The planet has not been “struggling” to match 1997 (really 1998) as the warmest year on record. In fact, NASA and NOAA released reports showing that 2010 actually tied itself with 1997. Also, all fifty states have seen their heat wave records–many of them set in 2010–broken this summer.

    The weather has become so noticable that Rush Limbaugh and Fox News are desperately insisting that the numbers were made up. One of the Fox anchors even pushed an idea that volcanoes on the Moon disproved climate change. The cracks in denialism are becoming increasingly apparent. It’s a question of how much damage will be inflicted before it finally crumbles.

    Best Regards,

    Sebastian Lawhorne

  25. humanity isn’t worth saving. sure the odd individual is fantastic, but as a group, we don’t work. that’s bleedingly obvious isn’t it? hasn’t it always been? so-called civilization doesn’t work, not for long anyway. just look at history. i’m ashamed to be human. anyone with a brain & a heart should be. there’s more integrity in the butcher bird that visits my garden everyday, than in all of humanity put together. come on mother nature, wipe the slate clean and start again.

    great book paul
    regards
    evan

  26. Thanks, Paul. I have just about finished your book and no longer feel so alone. My catch-cry for the last 20 years has been: “The Triffids will come, and that will sort the wheat from the chaff.” Most people look at me strangely, but the occassional kindred spirit nods along appreciatively with a little smile. I suppose that has been my personal metaphor for exactly the scenario you describe in your book. My contingency plans have been in place for a long time, as I continue to grow my skills and knowledge and monitor world/local affairs.
    Now please wish me luck, as I prepare to convert my sister-in-law who spends all her spare time on ebay purchasing shoes and handbags.
    Thanks again, from the Aussie Outback.

  27. My comments are similar to Kelly Green (above). It is good to feel i am not alone in following the logic of limits to growth. I agree nothing will happen at the Government level or at the community level until it “has” to. It then becomes doubly important that the enlightened (us) are ready to help those grieving the past and to help re-skill our communities for the future. We are the change agents, the support team and the leaders of the future. Respect to all of you who have been strong enough to face this future as it is without distraction. The internal battle can often be the hardest.

  28. Just finished reading the book… Nicely done, I just wish I shared your optimism. I agree that nothing major will change until we are “in the gutter”, but then greed and panic are more likely than sober reassessments. There are just too many people in the world who will not readily accept starvation or the forfeiture of their long anticipated better life.

    The already begun resource wars will get hot in a hurry and the resulting disruption and ecological damage will finish off most of us. The prospects of starting over in a depleted and contaminated world are pretty poor.

  29. Paul, thanks for what you are writing. It can be so difficult to get a sensible account of the collective scientific and economic opinion about the global situation. My instincts called for change in my own life in the past few years…never a ridiculous consumer, but still engaged wholly in the system…now we are thinking outside the system and making steps towards getting outside the system and focusing on the skills we will need to survive and hopefully thrive the impending crisis…your words come not as warning, but as confirmation we are on the right track. My partner has always said…”If the world as we know it does collapse then this is the right way to live; and if it doesn’t fall to pieces this will still be the right way to live” Nothing ensures our personal survival, but we have to make the change to our collective mindset…and we can be part of the “We Change” Warmest wishes, Michelle

  30. Hi Paul,
    Just heard your story on Richard Feidler’s In Conversation on ABC 702. Great to hear your life story .
    I podcast many radio Programs and listen when I can.
    I just read Curt Stager’s Deep Future, with a similar theme to your book. I will buy your book too, sounds great. You are an impressive speaker and you seem to be bursting with energy! Good you; what you say makes so much sense.
    A teacher all my life, I always tried to get through to kids re. the importance of caring for the environment.
    I’ve written many green songs for kids,some of which are on the CD, Bindi-eye Bop that has sold well (I market it myself). So I am putting it into book/CD format as my grandchildren love to read and sing along as they listen to the songs.

    Keep doing what you are doing,. The world needs more enterprising, forward thinking doers like yourself.

    All the best,
    Margaret

  31. Paul.
    I have no economic training but I totally agree with you that the recent past dramas must be lookede at holistically and one can see that the world is indeed in trouble on all fronts.
    I do not how rich you are but maybe you and yuor publisher could do Australia and maybe the world a favour and send a copy of your book to all our politicans, especially the Liberals and especially the biggest dounce of them all Tony Abbott in order for them to wake up to what is going on
    You might also nvite them to log onto your web site and read, again they would certainly learn a lot.

    Regards

    Brian

  32. Maylene

    I’m on page 103 of your book.
    Reading about the Great Awakening,and how what you are describing is the same change,from a different perspective..of the radical transformation of conciousness in human beings.
    The Great Unveiling,Apocalypse.
    Thethruthcontest.com entry:The Present,along with spiritual teachers such as Eckhart Tolle,give a different view in humans comig evolution.

  33. Regina Araujo

    I am a teacher in Brazil. I’ve come across your book The Great Disruption and I am very impressed by everything I have read. I would like to contact you so that I can do some work in a school project for senior high school students. I believe your research on this field has to be wide spread and it is important that pre-college students get in touch with your views.
    Looking forward to hearing from you.
    Regina

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